Amid increased partisanship in Washington, uncertainty and delays in the delivery of arms to Kyiv, and dwindling public backing, Eastern European nations are concerned that Ukraine could be forced into peace negotiations with Russia.
The countries bordering Russia and Belarus, the latter of which is viewed as a puppet state for Russian President Vladimir Putin, contend that international partners must map out a path for a decisive victory for Kyiv. President Biden and other allies have pledged to support Ukraine for as long as it takes.
During a conference in Spain last week, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis stated that his country does not intend to stick with Ukraine as long as it needs, as long as it requires.
Over a year and a half after Putin began the full-scale invasion of the country, Ukraine is making sluggish but considerable headway against Russia’s occupying soldiers in a second counteroffensive that commenced in June.
However, Ukraine’s most hawkish backers are worried that squabbles over the 2024 budget in Washington, Republican squabbles over military and economic aid to Kyiv, and creeping public hostility toward continued support will give the appearance of waning American support and raise pressure on Ukrainians to negotiate with Russia.
Peace Talks with Putin Could Embolden Him to Threaten Other Countries
Putin is determined to establish a new world order and would not be restrained by a fictitious peace settlement in Ukraine, according to Jacek Siewier, chief of the Polish National Security Bureau, in an interview with a small group of journalists in Warsaw at the end of August.
Volodymyr Zelensky, the president of Ukraine, has urged that any agreement must put pressure on Vladimir Putin to fully withdraw Russian troops from Ukrainian land and provide security assurances that will thwart and resist any future Russian aggression.
According to the U.S. and other supporters, Ukraine alone can decide when it is time for Kiev to start peace talks.
Trump and another GOP presidential contender Vivek Ramaswamy, who wants to transfer Ukrainian territory to Putin as part of a proposal to shatter the Russia-China alliance, are challenging that orthodoxy in the United States.
The official claimed that peace talks and a ceasefire would give Putin the incentive and free up resources to turn towards threatening other bordering states, such as in the Russian-occupied territories of Georgia and Moldova.
They also assert that Ukraine’s supporters must be ready for scenarios in which Putin is completely isolated.
Due to potential dangers on their borders with Russia and Belarus, a country ruled by Putin friend and longstanding autocrat Alexander Lukashenko, Poland and the Baltic states are on high alert.
Putin Determined to Annex Ukraine Despite War Fatigue in US
According to U.S. and European sources, Putin is adamant about continuing his war in Ukraine with the aim of annexing it to the Kremlin. They think the Russian president still has faith in his ability to withstand both the will of Ukrainian society and its international backing as well as any internal strife.
That presents a troubling contrast with the United States, which is displaying alarming indications of war fatigue, for some in Europe.
A budget battle over President Biden’s current request for $24 billion in additional cash for Ukraine will reveal whether far-right cynicism is beginning to permeate the Republican mainstream, even though a large majority of Congress has continued to favor Ukraine aid.
The front-runners in the Republican primary also seem to be taking a stance that is in line with GOP voters, the majority of whom believe that the United States should stop funding Ukraine.
European leaders were reluctant to voice their worries about American political events in public. However, they were eager to point out the risks associated with any attempts to communicate with Putin in good faith.
In terms of confronting Russia, Poland and the Baltic states have taken the most hardline positions. Their communities can go back one or two generations for egregious instances of Soviet-era Russian cruelty.
Under occupation, the cultures and identities of the Baltic peoples were criminalized, and banishment to Siberia was a frequent penalty for dissidents.
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